Year 4 · Mathematics · Probability

AC9M4P01

describe possible everyday events and the possible outcomes of chance experiments and order outcomes or events based on their likelihood of occurring; identify independent or dependent events

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Taught alongside it

The rest of Probability in Year 4.

The same idea, year by year

Where AC9M4P01 comes from and where it goes, for a student working below or above Year 4.

1. Year 3AC9M3P01identify practical activities and everyday events involving chance; describe possible outcomes and events as ‘likely’ or ‘unlikely’ and identify some events as ‘certain’ or ‘impossible’ explaining reasoning
2. Year 3AC9M3P02conduct repeated chance experiments; identify and describe possible outcomes, record the results, recognise and discuss the variation
3. Year 5AC9M5P01list the possible outcomes of chance experiments involving equally likely outcomes and compare to those which are not equally likely
4. Year 5AC9M5P02conduct repeated chance experiments including those with and without equally likely outcomes, observe and record the results; use frequency to compare outcomes and estimate their likelihoods